Posted on: February 5, 2012 10:56 am
He's a Top 10 PF in the league and maybe a Top 5 PF by next year. Everyone called me crazy in the off-season threads for saying Millsap would be this good, but each game he plays he is proving me more and more right. People thought I was crazy for saying he's better than Carlos Boozer, but that's looking more and more spot on as each game is played. Paul Millsap started out the season almost splitting minutes exactly with Derrick Favors, but since he's started to get the majority of the minutes at PF, he's exploded into the player I've always said he's capable of being. He's been averaging nearly 20 ppg and 10 rpg over his last 13 games (19.7 ppg 10.6 rpg). Here is Millsap's numbers on the year:
Millsap: 16.8 ppg (13.2 shots/game) 52.6% FG 78.9% FT 9.5 rpg (3.3 offensive) 1.9 apg 1.5 TO/game 1.5 spg 31.3 min/game
The most impressive thing is that he's doing this while sharing time and touches with 3 other big men in Al Jefferson, Derrick Favors, and Enes Kanter. Big Al is getting 33 min./game and taking 16.6 shots/game, and Favors is getting 20.8 min./game and taking 6.3 shots/game (Kanter gets 14.5 min./game and taking 4.1 shots/game). When you look at all the other top PFs in the game, they don't have share as much as Millsap has had to with their big men. For example:
Dirk Nowitzki shares with Brendan Haywood and Lamar Odom. Haywood takes nothing away from Dirk on offense and Odom has had a down year where he's not doing a ton to take away from Dirk either.
Kevin Love shares with Darko Milicic and Derrick Williams. Milic does very little outside of playing defense and Williams hasn't lived up to his hype yet.
Blake Griffin shares with DeAndre Jordan and Reggie Evans. Jordan isn't usually an offensive threat and Evans is only playing 15 minutes a game this year
LaMarcus Aldridge shares with Marcus Camby and Kurt Thomas. Camby might be the reason he doesn't average alot of rebounds, but neither takes away offense from Aldridge.
Chris Bosh shares with Joel Anthony and Udonis Haslem. Rebounds? Maybe, but they do nothing else to take away from Bosh.
Amar'e Stoudemire shares with Tyson Chandler and that's pretty much it.
Carlos Boozer shares with Joakim Noah and Taj Gibson. Noah has had a down year, and Gibson is not doing nearly as well as he's down in previous years.
All of these top PFs, other than Dirk and Boozer, are getting alot more minutes and taking alot more shots per game/getting alot more overall touches.
Dirk Nowitzki - 31.8 min./game 14.1 shots/game (19.5 ppg 6.9 rpg - Per 36 min.)
Kevin Love - 39 min./game 17.8 shots/game (22.9 ppg 12.5 rpg - Per 36 min.)
Blake Griffin - 36 min./game 16.5 shots/game (21.1 ppg 10.7 rpg - Per 36 min.)
LaMarcus Aldridge - 36.4 min./game 18.3 shots/game (22.8 ppg 8.6 rpg - Per 36 min.)
Chris Bosh - 36.2 min./game 14.8 shots/game (19.9 ppg 7.7 rpg - Per 36 min.)
Amar'e Stoudemire - 34.4 min./game 15.5 shots/game (19.1 ppg 8.5 rpg - Per 36 min.)
Carlos Boozer - 30.4 min./game 12.7 shots/game (17.4 ppg 10.1 rpg - Per 36 min.)
Millsap averages 19.4 ppg and 10.9 rpg per 36 minutes, and as you can see, that's comparable with most of these guys (with Love the only one standing way out on stats). I don't think anyone can doubt anymore that Millsap is the real deal and is a Top 10 PF in the NBA. If he were the go-to guy like alot of these PFs, he could very well be putting up 20 and 10 + numbers and be getting alot more credit. I also think it's hilarious that I heard some people before the season saying Derrick Favors is a better big man and should start over Millsap. Not only was that laughable, but has looked like a very foolish statement to this point.
People seem to forget Millsap is only 26 years old and just in his 2nd year as starter for the Jazz. He could very well get even better than this and should be able to develop into the 20 ppg and 10 rpg player I said he was capable of way back in his 3rd year in the league.
Posted on: June 27, 2008 9:45 am
Edited on: June 27, 2008 9:50 am
I usually don't find myself asking this question too many times because 99% of the time he is a genius and makes the right call. But that 1% are the times when Joe D looks more like another Detroit GM (Matt Millen) . Like when he drafted Darko Milicic over Carmelo Anthony, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, etc. Well this year's NBA Draft was only one of those 1% moments where I found myself thinking, "Was Matt Millen drafting for the Pistons or was it actually Joe Dumars?
When it rolled around to the Pistons 1st round pick, I found myself very excited. I was hoping somehow someone good would fall to us and we would get lucky. Well my prayers were answered when Chris Douglas-Roberts and DeAndre Jordan were both available at the Pistons pick. I sat there waiting to see which one we would get and would have been happy with either one (CDR more), but instead I hear D.J. White's name called. I thought, "Huh, well I guess he's not that bad, but why didn't we get CDR?" I was upset, but I was willing to live with the White pick.
Then a trade happened; The Pistons traded D.J. White for the SuperSonics two 2nd round picks (32nd and 46th). So then I was thinking, "Well maybe now they are going to draft one of those guys, or maybe even Bill Walker." Any of those 3 would have made me happier than I am right now. They go and select Walter Sharpe from UAB. I almost punched the TV and started to cry. Before I went crazy I decided maybe Joe D knew something about this guy that I didn't. To be honest, I had never heard of him until now. So I looked him up and did some research. When I was done, I about lost it. A guy that bounced around between 3 different colleges, has narcolepsy, got arrested at a nightclub, and was shot. Hmmmm, sounds like a perfect fit for the Pistons doesn't it? The other two picks, Trent Plaisted and Deron Washington were two other forwards. So the Pistons drafted 3 forwards in this draft. I can't say anything about Plaisted since he is another guy I have no clue about, but Washington is almost the same type of player as Sharpe. So why draft him? Just to keep up with how horrible we've been drafting so far?
I was very disappointed with Joe D this year in the draft. After a great year last year in getting Rodney Stuckey and Arron Afflalo, going to such a horrible year this year in getting Walter Sharpe, Trent Plaited, and Deon Washington. It just makes me wonder what Dumas was thinking when he made these picks, or even it was even him at all but instead it was Matt Millen!
Posted on: March 5, 2008 9:32 am
There are 5 young superstars that will be the possibly the 5 best players in the league sometime in future. They are Chris Paul, Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, Chris Bosh, and Dwight Howard. Once Kobe Bryant, Kevin Garnett, Tim Duncan, etc. leave and retire it will be these 5 who will be the face of the NBA. They will battle each other for MVPs and championship trophies, but who will win the most?
Dwyane Wade has already won one with the Heat in 2005, but that was when Shaq was still a dominant force and the Heat were actually a good team. Now, all he has is Shawn Marion (who might not even stay there after his contract runs up) and Udonis Haslem. The Heat will probably have a top 5 pick in the draft next year, so they could do some major improving and be back in contention in the East again soon.
LeBron James has been to the Finals once already (after beating my Pistons!), but got swept by the Spurs for last year's championship. He is already seen as one of best players in the league at only 23 years old. He will continue to get better and possibly be one of the greatest we have ever seen. The Cavaliers don't have much without him, but after adding Ben Wallace, Delonte West, Wally Szczerbiak, and Joe Smith they could have a chance somewhere in the future.
Chris Paul is already becoming one of the best PGs in the NBA. He had his Hornets to first place in the West at one time this year. They are still in the top 3, and could make the playoffs for the first time since the '03-'04 season. He has shown is capable of leading his team, and has some good players around him (David West and Tyson Chandler) that can help him. They are just missing one more good player, and they could be a championship contender very soon.
Dwight Howard is possibly already the best center in the league. He has been in the league leaders in rebounds for the last couple years now. He is becoming a dominant force in the paint on offense and defense. The Magic looked to get him some help this year by signing Rashard Lewis. Lewis hasn't been all he was cracked up to be, but regardless, Howard has gotten his team to one of the top spots in the East. With a young improving PG in Jameer Nelson, and good player in Hedo Turkoglu, the Magic may not be too far from title contention themselves sometime down the road.
Chris Bosh is definatley one of the best players in the league. He doesn't get recognized like Wade, LeBron, Paul, and Howard because he plays for the Toronto Raptors who are in Canada. We don't get to see him often on national TV, so he kinds of goes un-noticed by some people. He is still a beast in the paint, and can put up 20 and 10 very consistently. He has a great young supporting cast with Jose Calderon, T.J. Ford, Jamario Moon, Andrea Bargnani, and Jason Kapono. They are all young guys like Bosh will continue to improve. They could, sometime in the future, be in contention in the East as well.
These 5 players could all take their team to the Finals and someday possibly win a championship, and they could all win an MVP eventually. The question is; who will win the most MVPs? Who will win the most championships?
Tags: Andrea Bargnani, Ben Wallace, Cavaliers, Chris Bosh, Chris Paul, David West, Delonte West, Dwight Howard, Dwyane Wade, Heat, Hedo Turkoglu, Hornets, Jamario Moon, Jameer Nelson, Jason Kapono, Joe Smith, Jose Calderon, Kevin Garnett, Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, Magic, Pistons, Raptors, Rashard Lewis, Shawn Marion, Spurs, T.J. Ford, Tim Duncan, Tyson Chandler, Udonis Haslem, Wally Szczerbiak